Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 45.439223 52.200336 59.234406 67.067138 75.514555 84.321345 94.167656
2024-11-03 36.993563 46.746004 57.457462 69.964216 84.040145 99.276007 116.898992
2024-11-10 31.637344 42.998568 55.988792 71.670461 89.832457 109.972735 133.766717
2024-11-17 26.238792 38.352034 52.754114 70.688425 92.000720 116.138355 145.172219
2024-11-24 21.953367 34.460264 49.895883 69.672220 93.716224 121.448686 155.317494
2024-12-01 18.967062 31.827963 48.250555 69.824677 96.570960 127.893322 166.625920
2024-12-08 16.491602 29.566678 46.822173 70.026925 99.310233 134.072772 177.532643
2024-12-15 14.565536 27.832285 45.892250 70.701910 102.509217 140.719095 188.941836
2024-12-22 12.375540 25.456328 43.897027 69.825731 103.632562 144.753089 197.158435
2024-12-29 11.138369 24.364448 43.548518 71.021963 107.312041 151.872740 209.080593
2025-01-05 10.142227 23.531908 43.478755 72.527086 111.347736 159.416733 221.526948
2025-01-12 8.637022 21.682219 41.804472 71.736532 112.322239 163.095470 229.214163
2025-01-19 7.001161 19.398839 39.347450 69.766989 111.702930 164.775052 234.490482
2025-01-26 6.651806 19.388080 40.318342 72.621203 117.506150 174.619816 249.948526
2025-02-02 6.103541 18.928812 40.545891 74.384051 121.834674 182.591550 263.097161
2025-02-09 5.073207 17.367686 38.918072 73.376575 122.354777 185.642491 270.065721
2025-02-16 4.174156 15.907422 37.333856 72.336754 122.757796 188.492091 276.748640
2025-02-23 3.579805 14.998385 36.590444 72.492765 124.771130 193.413054 286.047636
2025-03-02 3.063551 14.166998 35.912840 72.699795 126.824574 198.372279 295.396726
2025-03-09 2.670205 13.556822 35.572505 73.390678 129.539475 204.198053 305.863625
2025-03-16 2.139962 12.449524 34.253861 72.493849 129.958468 206.957718 312.383725
2025-03-23 1.899954 12.098604 34.292727 73.718250 133.401064 213.744749 324.109474
2025-03-30 1.713821 11.866858 34.535076 75.258561 137.300733 221.155839 336.667458